Analytical method · DDRS
Decision Devil's Advocate + Recompete Radar + Scoring
The three layers of the bid-decision stack.
What it measures
A three-stage pipeline: Recompete Radar identifies contracts likely to resolicit in the next 6–18 months; the bid-decision scorer estimates a qualitative "fit + fight" rating; the Devil's Advocate layer generates the counter-case against pursuit.
Inputs
- Historical contract periods of performance
- Period-end inference for recompete likelihood.
- Entity graph
- Prime + sub relationships, past-performance density.
- Firm self-entered fit profile
- Capabilities, clearances, past vehicles (authenticated only).
Output shape
Per-opportunity: a qualitative recompete-window estimate, a fit/fight rating, and a bulleted "reasons not to bid" counter-brief. Numeric fit probabilities live behind authentication.
Why it is shaped this way
The three layers are deliberately opinionated and arguable. Most BD teams chase the opportunities the pipeline surfaces; DDRS exists to let a capture lead stress-test the pursuit and walk away before burning bid-and-proposal budget.
Sources cited
What we deliberately do not publish
The weights, coefficient tables, normalization cutoffs, and the specific transformation logic that turns the inputs above into a 0–100 score are proprietary to ENKARI LLC. The authenticated product exposes per-state component breakdowns, the source rows backing each component, and the full backtested trend series.